Gov. Kathy Hochul’s lead over Republican rival Bruce Blakeman in New York’s gubernatorial race has narrowed to just about 4 factors, an inside GOP ballot obtained by The Post claims.

Blakeman trailed the Democratic incumbent by just 4.4 factors — 50.3% to 45.9% — according to the survey performed by On Message Inc. for Republican Saritha Komatireddy’s marketing campaign for legal professional normal.

The same ballot confirmed Democratic Attorney General Letitia James main Komatireddy by 6 factors, 50.7% to 44.7%.

Gov. Kathy Hochul holds a press convention asserting that a joint investigative partnership by members of the New York State Police and the New York State Department of Financial Services resulted in the arrests of 16 people as half of ongoing and joint auto insurance coverage fraud investigations on Tuesday, Oct. 20, 2026. Brian Zak/NY Post

Democratic incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul and Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman face off in a debate at the Spectrum News NY1 studios in Manhattan on Tuesday, Oct. 13, 2026. Pool picture by Anna Connors for The New York Times

The Komatireddy marketing campaign ballot of 1,000 seemingly New York voters also requested about the governor’s race.

It confirmed Blakeman, the Nassau County government, with a dominant lead in the Buffalo area — Hochul’s dwelling turf —  56% to 42%.

While the City of Buffalo leans Democrat, the surrounding counties are among the most conservative and Republican-leaning in the state.

Voters in the Albany area also favored Blakeman over Hochul  52% to 44%, and other rural components of the state backed the Republican 62% to 33%, according to the survey.

Hochul’s greatest lead was in the New York City media market, where she led Blakeman 54.2% to 41.9%.

New York gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman is joined by former New York Governor George Pataki in higher Manhattan at 1455 St. Nicholas Ave. in New York to talk about excessive power prices on Tuesday, Oct. 20, 2026. Matthew McDermott for NY Post

The market contains Long Island and the northern Hudson Valley suburbs, such as  Westchester and Rockland counties, as properly as the Big Apple’s 5 boroughs.

Hochul, who is looking for a second four-year time period on November 3, held slight leads in the Rochester and Syracuse areas, 50% to 46% and 49.1% to  47.1%, respectively.

“This race for governor is very competitive,” said marketing campaign strategist O’Brien “O.B.” Murray, who labored on Republican George Pataki’s profitable marketing campaign for governor in 1994.

“In this race anything can happen. Four years ago people were tiring of Kathy Hochul. Nobody expected that race  to be that close,” said Murray, referring to Hochul’s slender six level victory in 2022 over Republican Zee Zeldin.

The survey aligns with Blakeman’s own marketing campaign polling, which last month confirmed him trailing Hochul by 4 factors. In a survey launched last week, new pollster Pollfinity also had Hochul forward by a slim 4 factors..

But the Real Clear Politics common of 4 latest surveys accomplished by veteran impartial pollsters present Hochul forward of Blakeman by a more comfy common of 12.8 factors — ranging from 9 factors in a Siena University to 19 factors in a Quinnipiac U ballot taken over the last month, the latter predicting a greater New York City voter turnout.