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The UFC heads west this weekend as we transfer to Sacramento this weekend.
UFC 330 was a massacre in the Octagon and on the betting sheets, with one of our worst outings of the yr.
We transfer on to UFC Sacramento this weekend with 13 fights on the card, a few of which have come collectively on brief discover.
Of the 13 fights, only 10 have props obtainable, and sportsbooks are projecting a 60 p.c end charge.
UFC Fight Night Sacramento predictions
Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues
A five-round struggle is precisely what Anthony Hernandez prefers.
Hernandez has been coaching with now-champion Sean Strickland after he lost to him in February.
He comes in as a rightful favourite at -165 odds, and while Gregory Rodrigues comes in as a respectable energy puncher, he could discover himself drowning a bit with Hernandez’s cardio.
Hernandez has possibly the finest cardio in MMA with spectacular wrestling and hanging abilities that Rodrigues has struggled with beforehand.
We saw Rodrigues lose in the fourth spherical by KO to Jared Cannonier and I think Hernandez can do related issues to Rodrigues if he chooses.
It’s powerful to say whether he will win by end or choice, but the longer the struggle goes, the more it advantages “Fluffy Hernandez.”
I’ll goal Hernandez to win in Over 1.5 rounds at +120 odds at DraftKings.
PREDICTION: Hernandez wins and Over 1.5 rounds (+120, DraftKings)
Vitor Petrino of Brazil poses on the scale during the UFC Fight Night official weigh-in at the Holiday Inn Sacramento Downtown – Arena in Sacramento, California, on Friday, August 21, 2026. Zuffa LLC
Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino
I’ve been such a supporter of Vitor Petrino in his UFC profession that it will ache me to say that this line is too far out of whack.
Petrino is constructed like a Greek God, with critical energy in his boxing and respectable wrestling chops, that includes ground-and-pound and submission makes an attempt.
Where he has fallen flat is that these muscle tissues don’t maintain lactic acid very nicely, and his cardio is suspect as a consequence.
Still, Petrino is just 28 and now enters a struggle against Serghei Spivac as a favourite, despite Spivac coming off a career-best win against Ante Delija.
That is the finest win either fighter has tallied in their respective careers.
I’m not so positive Petrino is going to just buzzsaw through Spivac contemplating what we saw in February.
Petrino hits onerous, but it’s actually powerful to belief him here.
Spivac has just confirmed more of late, and Petrino has consistently let down in his UFC profession with poor struggle IQ and not enough exercise.
Vet lesson! Taking Spivac here.
PREDICTION: Spivac ML (+132, BetRivers)
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UFC Sacramento full card picks
Reinier de Ridder vs. Roman Dolidze: de Ridder ML for parlays | Double likelihood by submission or choice (-110, FanDuel)
MarQuel Mederos vs. Mason Jones: Live guess Jones after Round 1 if he survives
Carli Judice vs. Jeisla Chaves: Judice ML for parlays
Anthony Wint vs. Terrance Chatman: Wint by KO/TKO (-290, FanDuel)
Jamall Emmers vs. Lerryan Douglas: Douglas wins in Over 0.5 rounds (-200, DraftKings)
Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev: Over 0.5 rounds (-353, Polymarket) | Over 1.5 rounds (-124, BetRivers) | Fight goes the distance (+275, Caesars Sportsbook)
Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast: Padilla (+107, Polymarket)
Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse: Barbosa KO/TKO in Round 1 (-165, FanDuel)
Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil: Young ML (-125, theScore Bet)
Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey: Pass
Shanelle Dyer vs. Elise Reed: Fight goes the distance (+150, BetRivers)
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the soccer season he’s showcased large income at The Post in the participant prop market the last two seasons. While consistently betting lengthy photographs, his return on funding is 30.15 p.c since 2022.